I had been unbelievably unlucky at cash games earlier this month. But I made up for it by being an MTT luck box. I was going to wean myself from 1/2 Rush this month, but now I'm glad I hadn't. I'm ran TWELVE BIs under ev in the first THREE DAYS!!!, and this doesn't include all the times my overpairs ran into sets, etc. On day 3, I had an agonizing hand, where I thought I had a pair aces, but I actually had A4o. Blurry vision from too much clown-punching obviously. So when some guy made a huge pot-committing cold 4bet, I said to myself, "LOL" and shoved. I guess I should be thankful he showed up with TT, since I had 30% equity, but of course I didn't spike an ace. Oh. And that was at 3/6 and not 1/2. At one point, I was 14 BIs under EV.
It's disheartening to start off a month bad. A "month" is an arbitrary time constraint, but considering I'm still waiting for my breakout month in 6max, it's disappointing. Fortunately, the Poker Gods decided to go piss on someone else after the first few days and I made the money back. 7 days down, 24 days to go - still plenty of time to do some damage. Eye of the Tiger baby!!! O wait, I'm going on vacation at the end of the month. Doh!
And the air conditioner in my office broke again at the beginning of the month. Broken A/C. Run bad. Coincidence? Can you guess where on the graph I stopped playing in a non-air-conditioned space? (Hint: it's the low point on the graph) Seriously, I was sweating like a pig in my office. One day it was 92 degrees with the windows open (I usually get a good cross-breeze). If you any of you guys drive by Connecticut, can you drop off some ice packs? I had to set up a makeshift office in my dining room. It took me 3 hours to transfer my database and update and test all the poker software on my laptop. I had a decent 4 hour session. Then the next morning the AC gets fixed, and I have to move the database again. Double Doh! My first session back in my cool office was +4K in 1.6K hands. Ahhh...
I entered my second FTOPs yesterday and ended up spending $309 with nothing to show for it. It was a very unfortunate situation because the two guys behind me folded < 20% to a steal, and the guy to my right opened a lot and never folded to a 3bet. This could be a gold mine, but I never picked enough hands or hit flops to punish those guys for being retarded. I suppose I could have kamikaze bluffed them but they had me covered and I couldn't tell if any of them were capable of folding middle pair by the river. So I got whittled down and I prematurely shoved a weak hand from the CO because I wanted to be able to 3bet bluff. Once you get below 12-14bbs or so, you really can't 3bet bluff any more. But I think might be more +ev to be patient - it's just harder to WIN. Oh well. I min cashed in the smaller second tournament I entered, but I didn't have enough ammo to continue. Min cashing feels dirty.
Tomorrow, we have friends coming over - one of whom is the other PTA co-president. Apparently, she *LOVES* my blog - obviously she has good taste. :-)
Variance at the PLO tables
2 hours ago








yeah the right conditions always make for good or bad sessions, keep up the run good while you have air working for you..haha
ReplyDeleteWait, what? 12-14 bb's and you can't 3b bluff, I would think you can't even 3b bluff once you get down to 25bb's. If you make it 5bb's after an open, you would need like 40 percent equity to call it off.
ReplyDeletein a tourney, 2.5bbs is the std open. with blinds and antes, that's 5bbs in the pot. If you shove 12.5bbs, it's plausible someone can fold with 17.5bbs in the pot and 10 more to call if they were opening super light from one of the steal positions. Like K9o is technically a fold if the guy is shoving his top 15%. But then again, there are people who will call off with ATC there.
ReplyDeleteO, I thought you meant 3bet/fold yourself. Gotta stop thinking like a non-Mole person.
ReplyDelete